Analytical Article Title: The Weakening of Iran’s Regional Arms… Between Escalating War and the Abyss of Collapse: Center for Truth and Knowledge

 

Analytical Article Title: The Weakening of Iran’s Regional Arms… Between Escalating War and the Abyss of Collapse

 

 Written by: Al-Krtyy

 Center for Truth and Knowledge

 https://h-alkrty.blogspot.com

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Introduction

The Middle East is now sitting on a powder keg, with unprecedented escalation in the ongoing tit-for-tat attacks between Israel and the Islamic Republic of Iran. What was once a covert conflict has transformed into an open confrontation—one that is increasingly shifting toward a long-term regional war. In the midst of this, Iran’s regional proxies and militant arms are showing signs of collapse, from Shia militias in Iraq, the Houthis in Yemen, and Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza, to the Assad regime in Syria, Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, and criminal terrorist mafias in Port Sudan allied with General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan.

 

Sudanese Islamists’ Statement: A Call for Jihad in Service of Iran

A recent statement issued by the General Secretariat of the Sudanese Islamic Movement, calling for “jihad in support of the Islamic Republic of Iran”, has raised serious questions. It suggests a growing collusion between General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and Tehran.

 

Port Sudan has quietly become a new hub for suspicious activity—bringing together militias, smuggling networks, and intelligence coordination. Most alarming is the reported transfer of Iranian drones and chemical materials to proxy actors like the Houthis and militant groups in Gaza. This cooperation not only inflames the regional conflict but also threatens to turn Sudan into another theater for proxy warfare.

 

The Deterioration of Iran’s Axis: Eroding Infrastructure and Loyalty

Despite Tehran's efforts to project resilience, ground realities tell a different story:

 

In Iraq, Shia militias face growing internal divisions and loss of influence to government security forces.

 

In Yemen, the Houthis are suffering severe losses amid relentless airstrikes and a revived peace track.

 

In Gaza, Hamas and Islamic Jihad appear increasingly disconnected, weakened by devastating Israeli bombardments and limited Iranian support.

 

In Syria, the Assad regime can no longer be relied upon as an unconditional ally, with Iran’s Revolutionary Guard units facing repeated Israeli airstrikes.

 

In Lebanon, Hezbollah is grappling with a financial crisis and growing popular discontent.

 

In short, Iran’s ability to support and maintain its regional arms is visibly declining.

 

Did Iran Miss Its Chance to Avoid a Prolonged War?

Multiple windows of opportunity were opened for Iran to negotiate settlements—particularly through nuclear agreements and regional de-escalation efforts. Yet, Iran chose escalation and deception. Now, with multiple fronts of confrontation, Tehran finds itself rapidly approaching collapse. Its opportunity for a sustainable diplomatic solution has passed, and the signs of internal disintegration are growing as its infrastructure is systematically targeted.

 

Economic Warfare: Iran’s Vulnerable Infrastructure and Global Trade Impact

As key Iranian economic sites come under attack—refineries, oil terminals, and nuclear facilities—one key question arises:

 

Could this escalate into a full-blown economic war with global repercussions?

 

The likely answer is yes.

 

Any military or political disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s busiest oil routes, could cause:

 

Soaring global oil prices

 

Delays in global supply chains

 

Major economic shocks in Europe and Asia

 

In this sense, Iran’s economic vulnerability could become a global economic threat.

 

Global Positioning: Between Silence and Strategic Hedging

The United States watches cautiously, prepared to intervene if strategic interests or Israeli security are threatened.

 

Russia, despite its alliance with Iran in Syria, remains hesitant—avoiding deeper entanglement that could compromise its global posture.

 

China, highly reliant on stable Gulf oil flows, exerts pressure behind the scenes to avoid escalation.

 

The European Union remains torn between advocating de-escalation and avoiding direct involvement in a widening conflict.

 

What’s most concerning is the deafening silence of several Arab regimes, who seem to see in this war an opportunity to settle scores with Iran by proxy.

 

Is Iran Sliding Toward Total Collapse?

If current trends continue, the Iranian regime may face one of two outcomes:

 

Gradual internal collapse, driven by public unrest, sanctions, and military attrition

 

Regional explosion, ending in broad international intervention that reshapes the entire Middle East map

 

In either scenario, Iran has already lost control of its regional tools, and the geopolitical landscape no longer favors its ambitions.

 

Conclusion

Today, Iran is not in a position of strength—it is in a state of confusion and desperation. The so-called "call for jihad from Khartoum" is nothing more than a last-ditch effort to revive a collapsing axis of resistance. With continued military strikes, declining support, and an asphyxiating economy, the Iranian regime seems to be approaching a moment of truth that could either usher in peace—or mark the end of its current political structure.

 

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